Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34e7335c3880177787d144c3a5554a5ea6e0e1e355fb2575154136fe88a54856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Under | 51c | 3,059$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 32c | 3,029$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.12 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 1,756$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 37c | 1,623$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.66 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 32c | 1,607$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.58 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 1,064$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.44 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 71c | 705.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.63 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 53c | 600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 401.75$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Over | 48c | 313.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 43c | 152.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 59c | 85.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…3376backed Over | 51c | 78.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Under | 48c | 68.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…7c39backed Under | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Under | 49c | 42.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 50c | 41.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 68c | 30.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 73c | 29.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Under | 73c | 27.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 67c | 23.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…82e7backed Under | 73c | 20.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.