NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aebf41161117ea9f162676db77330683d9618efe0bb4f4f7951e12b4a4ddb59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Pelicans, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Pelicans | 2c | 63,004$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.38 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Pelicans | 9c | 10,297$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.27 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…bfb2backed Pelicans | 15c | 6,270$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 4c | 5,431$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.21 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Pelicans | 6c | 5,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pelicans | 13c | 4,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.31 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 16c | 4,000$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.74 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…0f61backed Pelicans | 8c | 3,749$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.87 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Pelicans | 13c | 2,665$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.45 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Pelicans | 6c | 2,647$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Pelicans | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,960$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Pelicans | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Pelicans | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 2c | 1,439$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…e00ebacked Pelicans | 5c | 1,397$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Pelicans | 9c | 1,291$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Pelicans | 16c | 1,288$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…74e7backed Pelicans | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Pelicans | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Pelicans | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Pelicans | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans | 13c | 999.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Pelicans | 16c | 999.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…d2f5backed Pelicans | 16c | 999.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Pelicans | 14c | 930.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Pelicans | 18c | 861.31$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.09 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Pelicans | 18c | 848.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans | 10c | 762.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…54edbacked Pelicans | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Pelicans | 2c | 683.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Pelicans | 16c | 650$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Pelicans | 12c | 636.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed Pelicans | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…b865backed Pelicans | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Pelicans | 14c | 528.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5962backed Pelicans | 13c | 523.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Pelicans | 13c | 509.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Pelicans | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…0953backed Pelicans | 13c | 483.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Pelicans | 10c | 448.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans | 13c | 370$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…64a2backed Pelicans | 14c | 366$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…6f18backed Pelicans | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Pelicans | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d700backed Pelicans | 14c | 335.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans | 18c | 323.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Pelicans | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…92b9backed Pelicans | 17c | 276.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Pelicans | 13c | 226.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Pelicans | 13c | 222$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6099…bae1backed Pelicans | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb479…be94backed Pelicans | 13c | 207.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…c1a8backed Pelicans | 6c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…af06backed Pelicans | 6c | 199.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…bf0cbacked Pelicans | 13c | 182.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…3a25backed Pelicans | 14c | 174.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Pelicans | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa62…d812backed Pelicans | 18c | 148.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Pelicans | 15c | 147.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Pelicans | 17c | 144.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…9056backed Pelicans | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Pelicans | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Pelicans | 11c | 138.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe819…24f8backed Pelicans | 22c | 112.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Pelicans | 11c | 105.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Pelicans | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…dd7abacked Pelicans | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…ef3bbacked Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Pelicans | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Pelicans | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…c70abacked Pelicans | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…2c79backed Pelicans | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…3d8abacked Pelicans | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a6…82ebbacked Pelicans | 15c | 87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…9f04backed Pelicans | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…4ee1backed Pelicans | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Pelicans | 17c | 80.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…b4eebacked Pelicans | 17c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c09…65f5backed Pelicans | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f3…40f3backed Pelicans | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef79…335dbacked Pelicans | 17c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.