Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1416c0389179eefb02518047d148320b97d84365d27c92044e0a27dbc977c7d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 41c | 35,000$14,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,650 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 59c | 32,750$19,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,322.37 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 11,858$6,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,193.56 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 22c | 6,074$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.7 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 46c | 3,931$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.78 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 46c | 3,429$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.94 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 2,067$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.79 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 44c | 2,028$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.35 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 1,923$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 15c | 1,600$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.83 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,160$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked No | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…5c0abacked Yes | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 60c | 821.42$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.85 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 61c | 741.8$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 60c | 706.41$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.84 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 41c | 697.56$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.56 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 30c | 661.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 72c | 657.94$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.34 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked No | 31c | 651.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 509.5$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.98 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…f3e6backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…19e8backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 41c | 473.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.65 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 75c | 406.6$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 52c | 402.28$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 43c | 341.85$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.54 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 79c | 314.49$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 78c | 300$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 275.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 40c | 274.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…1bc2backed Yes | 44c | 273$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…f498backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 54c | 246.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…e343backed Yes | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…2194backed No | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…fa9fbacked Yes | 72c | 153$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 40c | 152.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 54c | 127.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked No | 60c | 122.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…7a67backed Yes | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c95…ebecbacked Yes | 41c | 105$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 43c | 102$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 39c | 100.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…6622backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 41c | 97.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 30c | 92.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 39c | 87.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…c300backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…ef53backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13d…2032backed Yes | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed No | 52c | 61.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…96bcbacked Yes | 41c | 58.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Yes | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…ff81backed Yes | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…0d96backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…3bc8backed Yes | 69c | 43.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Yes | 68c | 43.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…9abdbacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…10c5backed Yes | 48c | 41.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed Yes | 48c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…70fdbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ba…fc24backed Yes | 45c | 32.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 55c | 32.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…b883backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 52c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…6392backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.