TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Jazz, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fea…8f74backed Jazz1c61,583$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.0323833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Jazz2c12,018$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27a…1d05backed Jazz3c10,711$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.671926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Jazz3c6,497$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8618316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz1c6,176$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.561,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Jazz8c6,001$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.738439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz16c5,729$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz16c4,296$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.4846131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Jazz1c4,090$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.984573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz17c3,735$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.211,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2712…0f61backed Jazz16c3,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz9c3,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3251,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Jazz15c3,316$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3613920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x026a…2f8abacked Jazz11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Jazz16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.947354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Jazz2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jazz17c2,316$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.3229148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz12c2,300$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.041,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Jazz1c2,295$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4223835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Jazz3c2,240$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6414542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Jazz1c2,020$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3134425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Jazz12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f1…c67fbacked Jazz16c1,962$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Jazz5c1,828$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3819137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Jazz17c1,650$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.59724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz14c1,623$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Jazz16c1,559$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.421855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x358e…bdb6backed Jazz16c1,505$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked Jazz15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+69.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Jazz15c1,493$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2621649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0c4…b7a9backed Jazz2c1,340$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.811741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Jazz8c1,269$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10327939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8163…e061backed Jazz14c1,150$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.52638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e0…13a8backed Jazz18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Jazz5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Jazz5c867.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3710334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Jazz8c851.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.139625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa88c…4426backed Jazz2c849.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Jazz13c790.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8529043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz16c730.95$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Jazz16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e33…e00ebacked Jazz18c614.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…bb92backed Jazz17c599.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed Jazz17c593.9$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.76358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Jazz17c589$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.131723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz15c559.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…97f5backed Jazz17c529.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Jazz19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Jazz18c481.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.639052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Jazz16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6412247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…c1a8backed Jazz3c399.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d0…af06backed Jazz3c390.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74226.2%11 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62b2…d0a7backed Jazz5c349.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f14…b199backed Jazz13c339.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.083737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…2a44backed Jazz7c325.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.542025%5 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fd…d190backed Jazz17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514030%12 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Jazz18c277.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9512752%66 W · 61 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…d700backed Jazz17c275.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684e…2f63backed Jazz17c264.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcc2…758bbacked Jazz4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Jazz16c217.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2111035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdba1…e6cdbacked Jazz9c211.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb722…45dfbacked Jazz17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55a…32e3backed Jazz16c189.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.394341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Jazz16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Jazz7c164.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.536943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f44…1c79backed Jazz17c136.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ea…6f18backed Jazz17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205438.9%21 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e31…a34cbacked Jazz16c101$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.331442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7728…f932backed Jazz17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Jazz16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630243.7%132 W · 170 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x603a…fc8bbacked Jazz16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Jazz16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1627642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Jazz16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169045.6%41 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Jazz16c99.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1624147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27fe…8161backed Jazz15c98.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz18c96.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe119…6b06backed Jazz15c93.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61c…ed16backed Jazz17c89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a8…a0d8backed Jazz17c85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69fb…c051backed Jazz18c70.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd74c…8bd1backed Jazz17c70$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Jazz18c66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.887021.4%15 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a09…335dbacked Jazz17c64.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e2…d478backed Jazz17c64.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ad…c0b7backed Jazz17c63.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8e…1657backed Jazz18c59.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.