Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Inter (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd231a707fb5781d6159e142c3765229135474d558da8ce3e48aefa5be4d362b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Veronaof Inter, Verona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Verona | 53c | 3,359$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.5 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Inter | 45c | 984.51$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Inter | 45c | 775.42$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Inter | 47c | 497$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.59 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Inter | 45c | 377.4$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Verona | 56c | 360$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Verona | 56c | 233.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Inter | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Inter | 46c | 211.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Inter | 67c | 190.48$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Verona | 53c | 179.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Inter | 45c | 178.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Inter | 46c | 129.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Inter | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Verona | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Inter | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Inter | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Verona | 69c | 80.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Inter | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Inter | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Inter | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Inter | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…c110backed Inter | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Verona | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…681bbacked Inter | 42c | 46.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Inter | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Inter | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Verona | 56c | 44.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Inter | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…af7fbacked Inter | 45c | 35.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Verona | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Verona | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter (-1.5)this page
- Verona vs. Inter: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Verona vs. Inter: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.