TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Diamondbacks, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$647,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$661,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,349 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Brewers62c363,594$224,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138,850.0338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Diamondbacks38c180,000$68,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,4006058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Diamondbacks38c62,352$23,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,693.8235952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Diamondbacks38c46,307$17,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,676.5944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks39c35,350$13,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,786.631,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Brewers62c17,172$10,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,525.2938751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Diamondbacks38c13,333$5,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,066.5430255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks32c12,567$3,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,986.5254345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Diamondbacks38c12,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Brewers61c12,000$7,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,679.9911150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers68c10,867$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.7325454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers61c10,738$6,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,198.921,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Diamondbacks39c10,256$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Diamondbacks41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.934245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers62c8,408$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.2243949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks39c7,795$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,064.491,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Brewers63c7,271$4,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.2733845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks40c5,536$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.621,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers62c5,243$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.1363152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf54…3386backed Diamondbacks30c5,135$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.42458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb006…4eb8backed Diamondbacks41c5,010$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.12356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Diamondbacks33c4,756$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.386845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks3c4,669$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Diamondbacks26c4,629$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.326538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Brewers62c4,595$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.143654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks39c4,038$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.8273352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks3c3,970$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.11,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers61c3,792$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.7560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf619…4efebacked Brewers59c3,630$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.32055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Diamondbacks49c2,879$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.7431248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Brewers71c2,666$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.699,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Diamondbacks39c2,593$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.142934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Diamondbacks3c2,475$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8821246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks29c2,007$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.7279740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Brewers78c1,910$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x869b…776cbacked Brewers59c1,516$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.651855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Brewers71c1,361$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.1621747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks40c1,251$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.450843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Diamondbacks41c1,250$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.4716349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Diamondbacks39c1,140$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.644955.1%27 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb06…0e51backed Brewers58c1,084$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.92862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Brewers59c1,039$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.0538455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3c…7892backed Diamondbacks42c1,033$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.86850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e8…0bdbbacked Brewers58c1,031$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc06d…6670backed Brewers58c1,020$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.56850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd319…b3f9backed Diamondbacks42c1,017$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Diamondbacks8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806442.2%27 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Diamondbacks38c999.26$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.723345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks39c967.94$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.31,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks42c939.83$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers73c936.93$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.952,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks42c900$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Diamondbacks6c892.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.96,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x089d…c7c9backed Diamondbacks7c890$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4910713.1%14 W · 93 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks35c887.53$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.531,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks40c865.5$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.982,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks6c833.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.951,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Diamondbacks39c805.13$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31414148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Diamondbacks40c796$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.424547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Brewers65c751.95$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4154048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Diamondbacks44c699.99$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.954632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Diamondbacks42c693.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1810041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks38c639.38$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.961,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers65c601$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers75c585.12$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.44,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks40c551$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Diamondbacks39c546.03$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9511947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks40c520.39$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1651347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Brewers58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2434550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…0a55backed Brewers59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.472755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Diamondbacks41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20530151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Diamondbacks39c496.38$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5919449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Brewers58c413.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.889947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Brewers52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19210527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f70…63b2backed Brewers63c400$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1492751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks40c380$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Brewers69c364.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0118155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Brewers59c350$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.527733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks41c349.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.491,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Brewers59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.984254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Brewers62c334.87$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.251450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Brewers72c333.12$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5360052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Diamondbacks61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Brewers54c327.37$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.281,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad48…0b10backed Diamondbacks39c326.92$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Brewers62c326.89$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.223259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5866645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Brewers71c303.22$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5125364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Diamondbacks4c300.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Brewers55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Diamondbacks39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1177643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Diamondbacks38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11432651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Brewers63c277.78$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7811463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Brewers62c266.13$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.138349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks18c264.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.995930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Diamondbacks38c262$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.561,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea3…0708backed Brewers59c254.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.72665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Diamondbacks38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks4c245.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.495852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.