MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6798e28a16d78110becd01fbc4ce73c219a1350de244ffb43aeea00c1da03f0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Reds, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers | 64c | 20,544$13,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,395.82 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 36c | 16,596$6,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,006.33 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 65c | 11,221$7,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.02 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 36c | 9,300$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Reds | 38c | 8,966$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Dodgers | 63c | 7,317$4,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.18 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Dodgers | 62c | 7,035$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.22 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Dodgers | 62c | 6,550$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 32c | 5,679$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 5,585$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Reds | 38c | 5,010$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Dodgers | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Reds | 37c | 3,492$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.04 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…4efebacked Dodgers | 62c | 3,210$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Reds | 38c | 3,200$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.99 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Dodgers | 74c | 3,063$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Reds | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.96 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Dodgers | 64c | 2,419$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.57 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 37c | 2,374$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Reds | 4c | 2,106$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Reds | 1c | 1,671$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 6c | 1,630$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec1…94c3backed Dodgers | 63c | 1,421$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 7c | 1,270$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 37c | 1,251$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.85 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Reds | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…4025backed Reds | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 26c | 1,189$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.82 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Reds | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 39c | 1,012$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.73 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Reds | 3c | 999.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…8b66backed Reds | 37c | 954$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…e1f3backed Dodgers | 63c | 951$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d7…6f3ebacked Dodgers | 63c | 949$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…4aa8backed Reds | 37c | 946$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Reds | 30c | 917.35$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.32 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 38c | 899.98$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.09 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Reds | 37c | 795.96$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…eb54backed Reds | 37c | 711$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeeb…e314backed Reds | 37c | 710$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Dodgers | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Dodgers | 64c | 618.97$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.97 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Reds | 5c | 614.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Reds | 9c | 592$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Reds | 38c | 591$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.58 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Dodgers | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 63c | 551.31$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Reds | 37c | 550.95$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.85 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 38c | 526.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Reds | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Reds | 36c | 483.61$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers | 61c | 478.27$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.53 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 2c | 475$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Dodgers | 62c | 443.57$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Reds | 38c | 438.71$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Dodgers | 62c | 436.23$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 61c | 431.4$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.25 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Reds | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Dodgers | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Reds | 4c | 375.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Dodgers | 60c | 367.6$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 61c | 358.45$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 38c | 349.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Dodgers | 63c | 330.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.26 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Dodgers | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Reds | 4c | 284$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Reds | 35c | 277$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Reds | 38c | 263.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Dodgers | 63c | 249$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Dodgers | 62c | 244$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Reds | 38c | 243$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Dodgers | 69c | 234.78$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 37c | 230$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Dodgers | 71c | 221.77$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Reds | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Reds | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…0fc1backed Dodgers | 78c | 194.29$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Dodgers | 63c | 182.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Dodgers | 76c | 169.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Reds | 35c | 162.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Dodgers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Dodgers | 63c | 158.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Dodgers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Reds | 37c | 151.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Dodgers | 76c | 142$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dodgers | 69c | 134.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Reds | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Dodgers | 62c | 131.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Reds | 39c | 129.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Reds | 10c | 125.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Dodgers | 80c | 125.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 34c | 112.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 37c | 111.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Dodgersthis page
- Reds vs. Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Reds (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.