Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton vs. Leeds United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2a457b917c7fd4eafb268a379b3c6708c2c73efcb72ed3c65aea0ec386f0b87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 7,659$5,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.7 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 7,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 1,469$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.29 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 22c | 957.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.65 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes | 27c | 371.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 342.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…3240backed Yes | 25c | 235$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes | 28c | 200.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 23c | 197.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes | 26c | 53.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 26c | 51.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 45.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808b…48c8backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton vs. Leeds United end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.