Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x647fe38b9ac0e5a24e693c941b06e6a0b3dff98c80170948ba441caf2c269596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 25c | 9,356$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 7,021$5,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.19 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 3,050$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.94 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 76c | 2,549$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.75 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 76c | 1,500$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 16c | 1,410$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 13c | 991.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.89 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Yes | 25c | 530.67$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…bc55backed Yes | 23c | 428.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 24c | 408.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 25c | 350$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 80c | 331$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 22c | 303$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 245$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 13c | 238$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…47aabacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 76c | 144.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 76c | 137.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 76c | 134.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 22c | 115.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 22c | 111.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 78c | 103.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 76c | 95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 77c | 93.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 76c | 93.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 86.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 24c | 83.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 76c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…6438backed Yes | 26c | 77.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +83%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…d82fbacked Yes | 25c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…f02fbacked Yes | 22c | 54.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…cad3backed Yes | 22c | 47.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…16e4backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 76c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 79c | 19.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x808b…48c8backed No | 77c | 13.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Leeds United end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.