TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Padresof Rockies, Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$381,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies28c280,775$79,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,309.1938043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Padres72c74,400$53,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,83211759%69 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres72c65,728$47,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,403.7335952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres73c23,955$17,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,430.1463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Padres71c18,103$12,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.941,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres71c15,000$10,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30030255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres73c14,838$10,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,006.441,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres71c11,500$8,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3351,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60043949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres71c9,298$6,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.361,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Padres77c9,269$7,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.392,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Rockies26c8,423$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.989135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Padres75c8,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rockies25c7,651$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.7855053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Padres71c7,500$5,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1756547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Padres71c5,765$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.6221847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Padres71c5,545$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.656451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres74c4,228$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.382,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies5c4,000$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0495930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Rockies24c2,716$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.962642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…74b8backed Padres76c2,700$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6483452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5da…d89ebacked Rockies9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Padres73c2,037$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9920747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies3c1,840$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Padres74c1,677$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.011,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Rockies25c1,520$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38017045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies15c1,369$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.216,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Padres80c1,200$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.911,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Padres73c1,110$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Padres73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Padres75c900$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Padres73c704.29$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1614055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Padres73c550$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.51,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies24c545.14$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8351347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rockies24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09c4…40cdbacked Padres76c460.53$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5310154.5%55 W · 46 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rockies25c432$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10899951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Padres73c352.14$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0880955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Padres71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8719747.2%93 W · 104 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Rockies25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres76c262.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.342,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Rockies8c250$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.837642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Padres76c237.07$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Rockies25c216$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5424346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Padres71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5833852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Padres71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5832651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Padres72c161.87$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3231145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Rockies7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked Rockies28c128.57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres76c115$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Padres75c106.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Rockies25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rockies24c82.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.921,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4020…466dbacked Rockies25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010052%52 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3049…7825backed Padres74c76.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.898351.8%43 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Rockies25c75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7569547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Padres77c72$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.561,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Rockies25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.533140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Padres75c66.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rockies18c63.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7978445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockies21c62.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.218,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rockies24c58.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9726642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a93…0560backed Padres74c54.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3713…14e8backed Padres76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.632951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1181…509abacked Rockies25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1317146.2%79 W · 92 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed Padres74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rockies24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Padres73c43.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6966250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ce…316ebacked Rockies25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Rockies25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Padres74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.134257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e34…d38bbacked Padres74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.823957.7%138 W · 101 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1080…b86ebacked Padres73c28.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7711054.5%60 W · 50 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fae…9954backed Padres74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Padres76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3213249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48bd…bfeebacked Padres77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b7…3105backed Padres75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed Padres73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.418958.2%110 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ac…ce1dbacked Padres75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.