Token Launches · resolved market
Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f2c73698ab07509bb31f847e28cce28e84f61192d7e18a71b0c26568253283d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cc7…c424backed No | 5c | 30,128$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.3 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 2c | 20,025$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…aff8backed No | 1c | 9,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed No | 6c | 8,413$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.79 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked No | 2c | 6,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…020abacked No | 8c | 5,500$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…9f7dbacked No | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab8…b955backed No | 5c | 4,437$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.01 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked No | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…952dbacked No | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…de6bbacked No | 17c | 2,926$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…1744backed Yes | 77c | 2,606$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…75dcbacked No | 1c | 2,214$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…0af6backed No | 3c | 2,200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…8a66backed No | 41c | 2,100$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c7…6ff2backed No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…dc99backed No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…b0f2backed Yes | 52c | 1,908$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…beeebacked No | 1c | 1,490$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 3c | 1,400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x280c…9068backed No | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…2a0bbacked No | 2c | 1,139$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c59…2b38backed Yes | 53c | 1,094$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8da…d267backed No | 47c | 1,055$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked No | 1c | 1,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90fb…1807backed No | 13c | 1,024$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed No | 28c | 1,022$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.66 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d36…0ba5backed No | 25c | 1,004$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…a686backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…f7a3backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed Yes | 59c | 844$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…ffb0backed No | 6c | 820$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed No | 3c | 650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…301dbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…46dfbacked No | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f2…b27abacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…ee87backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…e56abacked Yes | 65c | 485.59$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +286%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…1cb8backed Yes | 58c | 453.22$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed No | 9c | 450$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 35c | 403.31$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.15 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…26b2backed Yes | 58c | 390$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282d…94d5backed No | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…409cbacked Yes | 60c | 347.72$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…d671backed No | 9c | 340$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…d134backed No | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…0e63backed No | 65c | 282.28$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…a0b9backed Yes | 65c | 275.86$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec00…7a8cbacked No | 38c | 248$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…a206backed No | 6c | 240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3035…1f37backed No | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…153fbacked No | 13c | 230.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe737…daf7backed Yes | 58c | 201.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…348abacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…d92cbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…f295backed No | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…c481backed Yes | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 41c | 196.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…f879backed No | 11c | 175$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0659backed No | 58c | 168.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…3692backed Yes | 52c | 146.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed Yes | 59c | 133.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…0bffbacked No | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…03a5backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 12c | 117.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 38c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…a929backed No | 47c | 63.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf94a…74b3backed No | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b6…d7dfbacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…c979backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed Yes | 61c | 39.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd21…5b8abacked No | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…c067backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $105M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $35M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $45M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $55M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $65M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $85M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $95M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.