Token Launches · resolved market
Over $55M committed to the Solomon public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2ed8230f4744d8cd737a8d1ef74a92a27ab4f46e05c1ecd94dfffb9acf2fc07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd68c…fcb2backed No | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…21d6backed No | 18c | 2,190$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…9f7dbacked No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…beeebacked No | 1c | 1,556$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…b2d2backed No | 9c | 1,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed No | 7c | 707.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…46dfbacked No | 12c | 520$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 15c | 400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe541…52d6backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…0551backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…cf5cbacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…2c72backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed No | 24c | 126.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…83ffbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…14a3backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…3783backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $55M committed to the Solomon public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $105M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $35M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $45M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $65M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $85M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $95M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.