Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8248fcec87dcadf626cbf09f7e1397b739222fff4cb7246ad691e45cec594c34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 20c | 9,302$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.98 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 6,408$4,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 2,870$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.35 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 78c | 2,853$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.21 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 4c | 2,600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 2,076$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.88 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 37c | 1,359$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 780.96$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.47 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 28c | 580.42$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.52 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 73c | 573.97$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 403.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 71c | 351$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 72c | 320.04$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…c933backed Yes | 28c | 320.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…5284backed Yes | 28c | 266$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 38c | 263.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 240.57$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 171.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 72c | 155$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 72c | 150.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 72c | 102$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 72c | 94.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…eb88backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…db95backed Yes | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 28c | 87.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 17c | 84.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…b9e3backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…021cbacked Yes | 22c | 78.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 35c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 62c | 54.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Yes | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 72c | 46.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 43.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Yes | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 77c | 24.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed No | 69c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?this page
- Will PAOK win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.