Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe801c4b445432614239124f456a1cfdf63e0e43df97c600d11b5fb1c3f4feeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 2,341$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.53 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked No | 59c | 1,532$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…56fcbacked No | 52c | 1,504$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a62bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,370$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 50c | 807.78$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.89 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 758.1$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 649.44$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.06 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 49c | 414.14$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 50c | 370$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 50c | 308$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceaf…2633backed No | 79c | 281.25$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed No | 52c | 259.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 50c | 236$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 50c | 216.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +98%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…05f7backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked No | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 29c | 172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 50c | 117.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…272dbacked No | 51c | 101.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…b53cbacked Yes | 28c | 80.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…461ebacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 50c | 61.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…e73dbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 54.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d5…5872backed No | 52c | 45.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…fdcdbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…576fbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…c948backed Yes | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked No | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…c0d3backed Yes | 55c | 32.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…a876backed No | 67c | 30.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 30.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…03c4backed No | 51c | 30.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…e93bbacked No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 50c | 28.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed No | 51c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked No | 52c | 23.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 52c | 22.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…aa0ebacked No | 69c | 15.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.