Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81d1bae2944fed501e08b7cdb129de8819c14d61c6846c94da5447ef522d1cc4

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,181 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	57c	6,524$3,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,809.8	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	40c	3,500$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under	60c	3,372$2,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,348.64	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	41c	3,310$1,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352.52	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	39c	2,563$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.71	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over	47c	2,500$1,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,164.99	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Under	54c	1,652$892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.89	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under	54c	900$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.8	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	40c	750$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	43c	537$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.91	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	67c	521$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.52	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	43c	508$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.44	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	53c	478.64$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.96	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under	53c	387.48$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.12	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…3c27backed Under	54c	373.53$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7917…6644backed Over	47c	371.57$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over	48c	308.87$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over	44c	308.58$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.06	222	29.3%65 W · 157 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over	43c	307.08$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.62	108	48.1%52 W · 56 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef51…c0d3backed Over	34c	300$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.4	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	38cpaid	+98%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over	40c	298$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	56c	272.36$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.84	212	53.8%114 W · 98 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	44c	269$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.36	301	43.9%132 W · 169 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Under	53c	263.52$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.56	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	70c	256.95$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.75	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3db…30f1backed Over	39c	256.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5a0…20dabacked Over	55c	252.95$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under	49c	244.9$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.9	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over	45c	222.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	61c	199.98$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.99	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over	40c	185$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over	40c	181$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.4	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over	27c	174.07$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	85	16.5%14 W · 71 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over	38c	170$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	326	56.7%185 W · 141 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Under	58c	165.51$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.95	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-6.3wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over	32c	156.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	241	58.1%140 W · 101 L	+34.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over	38c	149.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.99	367	58.3%214 W · 153 L	+23.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	60c	141.61$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.63	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under	61c	131$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.09	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4e…2004backed Over	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under	58c	113.31$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.08	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-7.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2977…a4dfbacked Over	39c	110$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.9	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Under	63c	103$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.11	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x058a…ed5cbacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-6.7wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4984…7aaabacked Over	38c	99.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.99	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	60c	99.35$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.34	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa34…02c5backed Over	43c	99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.57	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	52c	98.47$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	20c	97.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	203	36.9%75 W · 128 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbea…e77bbacked Under	42c	95.24$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.24	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over	38c	90.92$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.55	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91b5…dc5ebacked Under	62c	81.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under	73c	80$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.4	95	61.1%58 W · 37 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb163…4129backed Over	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Under	60c	74.37$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.75	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Over	44c	73.16$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.19	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under	52c	70$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	168	63.1%106 W · 62 L	+13.3wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under	61c	67$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.13	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	32c	64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	614	41.2%253 W · 361 L	-27.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over	41c	56.31$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over	32c	54.8$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.54	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+10.8wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	54c	54$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.66	721	42.7%308 W · 413 L	+15.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over	33c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.48	282	46.1%130 W · 152 L	-12.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	250	57.6%144 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over	39c	47.1$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under	62c	45.16$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.16	248	44.4%110 W · 138 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Under	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e5…8e79backed Over	39c	38.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	58c	36.1$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Over	28c	36$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Under	59c	35.59$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.59	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.29per pick	43cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	56c	35$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	71	62%44 W · 27 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over	58c	35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	35cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Under	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	32c	30.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc3a8…7c76backed Over	40c	30.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc30…8780backed Under	53c	30.19$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.19	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e14…bc35backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…739ebacked Under	62c	29.06$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	40c	27.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over	40c	26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	88	58%51 W · 37 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-7.3wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a5d…71f0backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Over	57c	24.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	190	48.4%92 W · 98 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under	61c	24.06$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.38	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+3.9wins	+0.35per pick	56cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x35d2…ee3abacked Under	62c	23.66$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8225…c0b9backed Under	59c	22.56$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Under	52c	20.83$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+9.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5this page
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event