TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c10,570$3,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,955.366,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over74c3,203$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.773839.5%15 W · 23 L-8.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over65c2,945$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.662,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Over61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5257047.1%33 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7555…49d2backed Over49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c1,317$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.022,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c1,022$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.494,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Under60c830.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.441866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over61c820.47$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4825752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5cd…05f7backed Under39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.231136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over66c712.12$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over62c709.68$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44011346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over22c600$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1342245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under38c580$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.613554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over48c519.1$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2491540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Under39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over62c502.74$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.77544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Over63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3154216.7%7 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under36c441.84$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.322229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c432.06$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.742,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under31c418.77$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.221,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under17c412.37$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9513132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Under32c309.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4517428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under30c304.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over62c292$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0416453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0867…f953backed Over65c286.15$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under38c258$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.967929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e28…c195backed Under39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+61.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2356…70b2backed Over65c231$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under37c203.64$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.091,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c187.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.311,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea51…83a0backed Over61c164.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003070%21 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006547.7%31 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a71…49bcbacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadd4…b42bbacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under38c159.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1927748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505034%17 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.858161.7%50 W · 31 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under70c140.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.856262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over62c135.48$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under35c134$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under41c130$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over62c128$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.364660.9%28 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over58c125.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.042466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over62c122.76$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4519357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over63c115$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.112733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a44…5e33backed Over62c110$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.252147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under25c102.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3889152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc888…f2cebacked Under20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Under33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef34…6779backed Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over32c94.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x492f…bc51backed Over76c86.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504040%16 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under32c79.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7611460.5%69 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over66c78.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.754045%18 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Over66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010547.6%50 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over66c73.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.833735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed Over62c72.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over67c70$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.916863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Under33c60.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.085538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over64c60.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8519253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.625558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.631359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.24755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over66c53.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over63c51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.134175.6%31 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under37c49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.948038.8%31 W · 49 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under32c47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208516.5%14 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over26c38.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1619853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0319…8ef9backed Under40c37.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under34c35.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1133753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under31c35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.151650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd475…35c5backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdafd…807fbacked Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under38c31.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+132.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d72…faf7backed Over59c30.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206762.7%42 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Over62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.65633.9%19 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ee7…9fa2backed Over39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over71c26.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over62c26.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.515866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7633…e5b7backed Over62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Over62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.