Europa Conference League · resolved market
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7726d7bf38bcf00e14b807ad48b69e61fc81f1b3c990b22943b1c8fec602eb05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,528$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.17 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 39c | 1,383$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.82 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 62c | 893.14$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 829.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.17 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes | 61c | 645.75$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 44c | 440$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 39c | 439$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.19 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 42c | 399.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 38c | 348.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.34 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 60c | 331.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…dc1cbacked Yes | 61c | 251.34$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 39c | 135.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Yes | 61c | 116$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0037…1405backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 60c | 88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 37c | 84.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…380ebacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 60c | 71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 52.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…fdcdbacked Yes | 60c | 49.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked No | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 34c | 38.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 40c | 37.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 41c | 29.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed No | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Yes | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…b7f6backed Yes | 62c | 22.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…c624backed Yes | 58c | 21.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…9166backed Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.