Europa Conference League · resolved market
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f52203156ef17b7bab2cca39182d2e90558c9d3054b37683e61b825d7339163
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 5,811$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.42 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 3,725$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.46 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 26c | 2,999$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.76 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 26c | 2,516$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.97 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 75c | 2,422$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 16c | 1,195$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 32c | 604.74$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.84 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 64c | 555.55$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.42 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 29c | 511.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Over | 74c | 270.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 70c | 252.31$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 30c | 199.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 73c | 184.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Under | 27c | 130.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 97.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Over | 34c | 71.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 58.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 69c | 40.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0406…c5b3backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 68c | 35.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 56c | 35.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 74c | 31.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 75c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb4…3d4bbacked Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 66c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5this page
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.