Europa Conference League · resolved market
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd025a744a663509d4e7bed1ea73e8c2243fe20e3a837a7c7f55a1be51b278a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 15,837$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,232.94 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 9,929$6,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 69c | 4,023$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.48 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Under | 74c | 1,622$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.72 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 32c | 881$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.94 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 69c | 408.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 34c | 316.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 34c | 306.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…2b1abacked Under | 73c | 280.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 71c | 199.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 67c | 198$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 27c | 184.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 75c | 173.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 114.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Over | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 73c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Over | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 43c | 52.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 51c | 41.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 34c | 34.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…a6edbacked Under | 57c | 25.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 63c | 21.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 4.5this page
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.