Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8321a8413839c6951c06f0fcf46186f98784bdcc2b4e4d234112ea3d5354e708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feyenoord Rotterdamof Feyenoord Rotterdam, SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 49c | 5,669$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.94 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 56c | 5,179$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.62 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 42c | 4,734$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.31 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 47c | 2,544$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 48c | 1,455$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 48c | 1,318$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.36 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 48c | 896.04$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 46c | 225$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 39c | 205.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 50c | 198$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 46c | 160.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 54c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 47c | 131.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 48c | 81.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 46c | 64.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…fb65backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 45c | 41.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 56c | 35.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 48c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)this page
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.