CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b2f57cc7029405dc427786fc0e98e1602c0a93fd8713a34261fd747193110a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof Imperial, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Imperial | 40c | 8,129$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.83 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked ShindeN | 54c | 5,163$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.3 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ShindeN | 64c | 4,220$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.64 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…8b17backed Imperial | 43c | 2,793$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked ShindeN | 59c | 2,428$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.12 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial | 46c | 2,300$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked ShindeN | 71c | 1,406$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.92 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ShindeN | 58c | 1,237$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.58 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked ShindeN | 72c | 1,235$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.37 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b4…18d6backed ShindeN | 72c | 1,133$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed ShindeN | 59c | 1,057$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Imperial | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Imperial | 9c | 999.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed ShindeN | 59c | 682.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.87 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…359abacked ShindeN | 58c | 617.64$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ShindeN | 27c | 517$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.79 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa217…296ebacked Imperial | 21c | 514.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed ShindeN | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Imperial | 43c | 457$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.51 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Imperial | 57c | 438.97$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.6 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…9291backed ShindeN | 33c | 368.39$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.82 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Imperial | 26c | 336.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…54f8backed ShindeN | 55c | 332.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ShindeN | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Imperial | 27c | 295.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed ShindeN | 47c | 260$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…b951backed ShindeN | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Imperial | 40c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Imperial | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed ShindeN | 74c | 169.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Imperial | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Imperial | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked ShindeN | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Imperial | 52c | 137.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 207 | 44.4%92 W · 115 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Imperial | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Imperial | 42c | 114.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f94…0c78backed ShindeN | 74c | 112$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked ShindeN | 29c | 107.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked ShindeN | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed ShindeN | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Imperial | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked ShindeN | 71c | 91.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Imperial | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Imperial | 49c | 87.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Imperial | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed ShindeN | 49c | 73.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Imperial | 47c | 73.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ed…c7d5backed ShindeN | 67c | 67.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed ShindeN | 51c | 61.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Imperial | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Imperial | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Imperial | 63c | 55.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed ShindeN | 68c | 55.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed ShindeN | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Imperial | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed ShindeN | 34c | 45.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece4…4001backed Imperial | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked ShindeN | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9a…f404backed ShindeN | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…3053backed ShindeN | 43c | 35.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked ShindeN | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1a07backed ShindeN | 59c | 30.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked ShindeN | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked ShindeN | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed ShindeN | 71c | 28.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed ShindeN | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…746bbacked ShindeN | 67c | 22.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked ShindeN | 78c | 17.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed Imperial | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.