CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d93e442a5982d8586e5e7dfc12752a0686330e50daf0c1f6a65cf53381da6e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof Imperial, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed ShindeN | 53c | 1,354$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.94 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ShindeN | 46c | 1,107$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.38 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Imperial | 4c | 999.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Imperial | 65c | 995.06$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.34 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Imperial | 62c | 740.69$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.54 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Imperial | 9c | 454.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…0915backed ShindeN | 18c | 372.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.22 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ShindeN | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked ShindeN | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Imperial | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked ShindeN | 44c | 145.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Imperial | 52c | 134.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…d27abacked ShindeN | 18c | 116.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…54f8backed ShindeN | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed ShindeN | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked Imperial | 27c | 63.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked ShindeN | 35c | 57.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…78e5backed ShindeN | 45c | 56.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece4…4001backed ShindeN | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed ShindeN | 24c | 52.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Imperial | 43c | 46.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked ShindeN | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Imperial | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…661dbacked ShindeN | 49c | 20.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.