Lol · resolved market
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs DMG Esports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb811907a8919eec0f8c984c3b01f8e8b91b08c955fb0c837434f665a86d0e25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DMG Esportsof 4 SWINES & A BUM, DMG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed DMG Esports | 58c | 10,228$5,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.03 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed DMG Esports | 60c | 10,159$6,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.4 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 42c | 4,545$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.91 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 45c | 2,672$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.78 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed DMG Esports | 61c | 2,205$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.92 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 45c | 1,495$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.75 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked DMG Esports | 57c | 1,415$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.72 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked DMG Esports | 55c | 1,342$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.11 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 43c | 1,300$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed DMG Esports | 78c | 999.99$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 44c | 840$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked DMG Esports | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 21c | 760.12$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed DMG Esports | 56c | 636.73$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.3 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 37c | 629.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 44c | 549.51$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.77 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 45c | 477.78$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…b620backed DMG Esports | 63c | 458.78$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed DMG Esports | 60c | 423.24$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 43c | 415.88$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.26 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked DMG Esports | 61c | 370.46$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 45c | 301$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed DMG Esports | 62c | 275.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 38c | 264.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed DMG Esports | 62c | 243.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 45c | 225.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ad…02b0backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 42c | 167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked DMG Esports | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 229 | 30.6%70 W · 159 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed DMG Esports | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 35c | 142.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 23.5%68 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 38c | 129.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 43c | 113.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…d5f3backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…d85dbacked DMG Esports | 69c | 101.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked DMG Esports | 63c | 100.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 191 | 68.6%131 W · 60 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…3c7ebacked DMG Esports | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed DMG Esports | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ae…85d1backed DMG Esports | 65c | 92.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked DMG Esports | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…294abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 17c | 60.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ed…c7d5backed DMG Esports | 64c | 51.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…4602backed DMG Esports | 65c | 50.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed DMG Esports | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 40c | 49.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 45c | 44.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked DMG Esports | 57c | 42.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed DMG Esports | 57c | 41.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 40c | 39.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 42c | 34.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed DMG Esports | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed DMG Esports | 73c | 14.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.