CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x546bee00e0cff037dca90cd8b1cd46683b44fd2cd7bd9fb504540194f8209796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof FORZE Reload, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 851.69$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.32 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked FORZE Reload | 20c | 800$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 783.33$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.38 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Eternal Fire | 11c | 617.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FORZE Reload | 40c | 569.76$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.39 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…8dabbacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 560.39$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 39c | 530.68$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.91 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa217…296ebacked FORZE Reload | 18c | 461.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked FORZE Reload | 50c | 429.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.05 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked FORZE Reload | 35c | 414.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.17 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked FORZE Reload | 25c | 271.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.74 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 253.85$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.49per pick | 63cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FORZE Reload | 13c | 249.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.05 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…385dbacked FORZE Reload | 63c | 237.09$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed FORZE Reload | 18c | 230$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…1ae2backed Eternal Fire | 6c | 216.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Eternal Fire | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 198$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eternal Fire | 69c | 194.46$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 193.31$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6c…f972backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 176.76$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…459dbacked Eternal Fire | 73c | 162.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FORZE Reload | 27c | 143.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…b168backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed FORZE Reload | 20c | 101.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked FORZE Reload | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload | 16c | 80.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…60f1backed FORZE Reload | 14c | 78.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…061cbacked FORZE Reload | 26c | 77.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +290.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…0c99backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 76.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ed…c7d5backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 65.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af6…4743backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 64.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2752backed FORZE Reload | 21c | 59.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FORZE Reload | 18c | 58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3c…44aebacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 50.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed FORZE Reload | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…359abacked FORZE Reload | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 46.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efe…2ed8backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 42.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 38.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 37.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked FORZE Reload | 34c | 37.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…5847backed FORZE Reload | 45c | 37.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf081…abb6backed FORZE Reload | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked Eternal Fire | 77c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d391backed FORZE Reload | 41c | 31.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 27.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 26.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Eternal Fire | 79c | 26.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 24.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…bd34backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 24.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848b…96e0backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 24.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…9d09backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked FORZE Reload | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Eternal Fire | 76c | 18.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…4f2abacked FORZE Reload | 74c | 18.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Eternal Fire | 64c | 17.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Eternal Fire | 68c | 16.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…3d48backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 15.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.