La Liga · resolved market
Alaves vs. Espanyol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7df02a5fe919c9663d42c87f5cb9680d0cf2024f668fddf0aefbdf750b931253
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 62c | 10,000$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,219.74 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 60c | 9,064$5,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,438.4 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 60c | 4,045$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Under | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 1,856$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 60c | 757$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.2 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Over | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…eaadbacked Over | 37c | 398.46$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 61c | 272.62$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 59c | 237.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 62c | 180.73$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Under | 52c | 171.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Over | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Under | 65c | 67.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 47c | 64.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfd…c435backed Under | 61c | 61.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Under | 60c | 51.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alaves vs. Espanyol: O/U 2.5this page
- Alaves vs. Espanyol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.