TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,644 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No73c20,045$14,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,386.542,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c10,010$7,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.4396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Yes8c7,000$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.183324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes6c5,991$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.4620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes34c5,490$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.611837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9920544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c4,861$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.1468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c4,418$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes32c3,333$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5624953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes27c3,311$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.282924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No67c2,779$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.3945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes33c1,371$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45613137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes19c1,300$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2492835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No66c1,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes31c955$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes35c819.94$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.988744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be4…448cbacked No68c700$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b62…ed6ebacked Yes32c698.75$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No66c690.77$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.647055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes30c675$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1618858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38b9…e315backed Yes33c668.97$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes29c626.12$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18115635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes32c616.09$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1511153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes18c560$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No66c538.6$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1222947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No68c536$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.521968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes34c509.35$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.185947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes33c400$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.812052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No68c361.09$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.559350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes32c356$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Yes28c340$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92536%9 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996540%26 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed No67c302.31$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.761947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes6c299.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.66323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c268.24$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes16c244.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes18c228.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.612737%10 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes32c221$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8627737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed Yes34c211.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.862646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df8…3ee8backed Yes25c203.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.21425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes33c196.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes34c173.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.14647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes30c170$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+56.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes30c166.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No67c162.31$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9116448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes33c153.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7520741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+89.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8be2…5db6backed No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3764…e02abacked Yes34c145.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes32c143$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7616046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes12c142.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.494131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe833…1723backed Yes7c134.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No78c125.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.658065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Yes33c100.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2512…9030backed Yes33c100.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.051030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Yes17c92.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.973531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes33c90.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.764151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.247568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes34c87.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6233144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes17c78.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2615045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes17c76.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed No68c73.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.584348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes33c72.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Yes17c70.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Yes20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes33c68.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.082050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes28c67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.766428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes18c66.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed No68c63.53$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.334854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked No67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.72070%14 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x550d…7847backed Yes34c54.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.513840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes22c46.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.131631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked No71c45.07$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.072157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc6…ae8ebacked Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Yes23c43.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.141369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.28444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.217955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.