Premier League · resolved market
Everton vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab772e3b5e8aa1850ef291a6e2fff59127578e00c5c809e89ef5a3291a63365a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 89,169$44,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,920.01 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Over | 50c | 30,070$15,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,035 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 50c | 22,376$11,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,188 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 16,576$8,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,436.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 49c | 10,286$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.93 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Under | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…189bbacked Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 3,159$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 41c | 2,907$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.51 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 46c | 2,800$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 49c | 1,632$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.23 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 69c | 1,237$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Over | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Under | 27c | 1,148$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 1,030$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.83 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 47c | 879.58$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.95 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Over | 27c | 592.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 50c | 498.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.59 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…caddbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 51c | 129.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…f0babacked Over | 75c | 52.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…fd12backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…b1e4backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…a519backed Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Under | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…4b52backed Under | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 39c | 25.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…974cbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Over | 49c | 21.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5this page
- Everton vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Everton (-0.5)Tottenham won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.