Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Everton (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f6ae5b8fa5a177b9694488d2e565cfcc52d9853c3e9060fb4394e426ca4f282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tottenhamof Everton, Tottenham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Everton | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Tottenham | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…9465backed Everton | 74c | 270.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Everton | 42c | 228.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…49aabacked Tottenham | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Tottenham | 12c | 170.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…21bdbacked Tottenham | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Everton | 38c | 145.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Tottenham | 58c | 120.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Tottenham | 56c | 111.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Everton | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…bb17backed Tottenham | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…fd12backed Tottenham | 58c | 55.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Everton | 43c | 46.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Tottenham | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…974cbacked Tottenham | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Everton (-0.5)this page
- Everton vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Everton vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.