Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. PSV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fac939da17f8cb4425812fb300379bb5ea249c4cf52f71ebfb634ad5c295f31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 50c | 15,182$7,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,596.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 4,855$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 68c | 3,332$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 2,944$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.92 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,182$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 47c | 844.68$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 52c | 524.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.25 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 489.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 401.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 293.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.73 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 194.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 59c | 144.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 13c | 103.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 54c | 98.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x543c…edabbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 18c | 82.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 48c | 66.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed No | 49c | 61.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 58c | 41.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 61c | 33.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27a7…36dcbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 28.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked No | 53c | 27.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 54c | 26.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f83…94cabacked No | 62c | 25.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. PSV end in a draw?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will PSV win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.