Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a275e9e9b95d8a5f033c5c844150586b9518abcd50b44d8b2b841fda3787ca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 16c | 5,763$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,841.21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 4,953$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 52c | 2,975$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 77c | 2,222$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 16c | 1,612$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.45 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 7c | 739$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 13c | 605.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 427.77$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.66 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 20c | 396.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 16c | 386.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.51 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 17c | 283.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 21c | 247.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 33c | 234.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 46c | 216.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 17c | 197.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.09 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 79c | 190.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…114cbacked Yes | 76c | 139.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 77c | 129.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 16c | 91.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed No | 27c | 48.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 51c | 46.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 46c | 41.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-24?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.