Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7781698578994258f18626ef7c7cbd4ddcabf9d7860d4a98a16e2c474b7825b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes | 23c | 2,202$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 1,795$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.7 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 1,401$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.28 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 77c | 434.75$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.76 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 17c | 393.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 350$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 8c | 327.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 47c | 252.09$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 10c | 244.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 212.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 191$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 173.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 22c | 173.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec2…00f6backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +216.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed Yes | 23c | 108.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…9534backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Yes | 24c | 91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 23c | 88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 23c | 79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 60c | 64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 42.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 36.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f4…7a34backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked No | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce79…7cedbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga end in a draw?this page
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-29?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.