Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dc5a82b8e666242effe26c6fb39cfa3c0fa046f211835841694bfde83f7fa36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 26c | 8,300$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 7,060$5,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.38 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 17c | 4,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 13c | 3,571$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.13 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 24c | 1,075$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 74c | 936$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 77c | 558.12$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 24c | 528$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 464.76$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 392.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 24c | 280$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 23c | 217.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 206.38$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 26c | 193.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 25c | 182$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 19c | 164.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 76c | 139.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…5284backed Yes | 23c | 132.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 15c | 110.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 19c | 96.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 56c | 89.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 32c | 65.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 73c | 42.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 40.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…ff2cbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 74c | 24.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?this page
- Will BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-22?No won
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.