Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc487bf77bc430963b402a1ddf49f9e1a69e4066bc56dbed86c19ce8db8285bb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 5c | 13,066$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.64 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 5c | 7,391$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.53 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 5,928$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 19c | 3,988$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.72 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 3,050$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 2,517$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,302$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,022$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.42 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2edebacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…a116backed Yes | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 7c | 402.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Yes | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 21c | 265.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 18c | 175.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 124$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…6987backed Yes | 20c | 105.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 22c | 88.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…20c3backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 19c | 59.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 19c | 58.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 21c | 51.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…b7cdbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2040…70f4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…b799backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb35…dd01backed No | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…7eaebacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.