Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd96fac303cea5ce414181c27eae54a33585e67a177886580a224086176c0ee61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 3,023$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.34 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 28c | 2,016$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 1,594$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.64 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,348$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.53 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 78c | 578.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 21c | 556.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 21c | 368.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 7c | 290.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 72c | 193$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 29c | 172.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 28c | 167.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 63c | 157.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 120.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 119$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 118.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked No | 72c | 117$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 72c | 105.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 90.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 71c | 83.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 28c | 72.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…dbdabacked Yes | 28c | 50.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f3…ebbbbacked Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…3087backed Yes | 29c | 41.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bf…5b91backed Yes | 28c | 39.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4e…eb4ebacked Yes | 29c | 36.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 73c | 22.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…0c6cbacked No | 73c | 20.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…d941backed No | 73c | 19.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…c064backed No | 72c | 19.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…9111backed No | 73c | 19.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…45cdbacked No | 73c | 18.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…8777backed No | 73c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…776ebacked No | 73c | 17.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…f2ecbacked No | 73c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8c…465bbacked No | 73c | 16.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e9…3ca3backed No | 73c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-22?No won
- Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.