Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf01d7e39fa70af944d5a6b2375e99129b47e18204659bc957fab01b2bd22bcf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 5,833$4,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.03 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 14c | 4,444$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.81 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 28c | 3,533$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,975$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 28c | 2,701$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 6c | 2,114$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 28c | 1,990$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.06 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 28c | 1,609$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.56 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,312$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 33c | 1,290$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.74 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 76c | 1,095$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.56 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,080$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 28c | 912.97$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.84 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 775.53$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.53 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa85…fe60backed Yes | 14c | 750$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 26c | 731.59$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked No | 73c | 685.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.24 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 6c | 660$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 18c | 656.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 27c | 592.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed No | 70c | 524.54$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 471.34$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 17c | 464.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Yes | 32c | 402.53$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 72c | 397.99$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 386.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 6c | 337.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 319.55$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Yes | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 28c | 292.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 29c | 275$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed Yes | 5c | 247.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 29c | 240$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 32c | 166.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 28c | 162.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 162.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 9c | 161.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 68c | 154.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bf…df87backed Yes | 27c | 151.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Yes | 25c | 139.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 67c | 107.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…722cbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 29c | 77.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…6a16backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 29c | 66.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 25c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed Yes | 26c | 57.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…c624backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed No | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 28c | 47.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…f162backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.38per pick | 56cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…b7cdbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…a4d0backed Yes | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 72c | 23.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 68c | 19.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed No | 75c | 13.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?No won
- Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.