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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vivo Keyd Starsof Vivo Keyd Stars, Fluxo W7M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1d4…38d6backed Fluxo W7M2c13,332$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.752072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Fluxo W7M1c8,888$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.212844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Vivo Keyd Stars74c7,738$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.581,00953.9%544 W · 465 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Fluxo W7M20c4,268$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.0269539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Vivo Keyd Stars73c3,801$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.161,60153.7%859 W · 742 L+55.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Fluxo W7M26c3,107$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.521,01242.5%430 W · 582 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fluxo W7M24c2,929$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.422,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed Fluxo W7M17c2,888$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.9921622.7%49 W · 167 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Fluxo W7M26c2,786$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.961,60742.4%681 W · 926 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fluxo W7M12c2,786$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.681,98748.4%961 W · 1,026 L+26.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Vivo Keyd Stars73c2,279$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.2471249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Vivo Keyd Stars74c1,995$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.8151244.3%227 W · 285 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Vivo Keyd Stars74c1,969$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.631,45357.3%833 W · 620 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked Fluxo W7M3c1,570$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.091330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Vivo Keyd Stars72c1,402$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.5652750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Fluxo W7M28c1,386$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38834536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fluxo W7M14c1,300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7696041.7%400 W · 560 L-31.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Fluxo W7M28c1,250$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,47528.9%427 W · 1,048 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Fluxo W7M27c1,172$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.171,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Fluxo W7M26c1,132$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30043642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Fluxo W7M27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,52850.5%772 W · 756 L+3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Vivo Keyd Stars68c960$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.289244.1%393 W · 499 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Fluxo W7M26c922.19$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.7186442.7%369 W · 495 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Fluxo W7M26c840.15$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.2639246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars75c834.02$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.271,22354.4%665 W · 558 L+51.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Vivo Keyd Stars69c810.83$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1665243.1%281 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Fluxo W7M31c801.67$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.596350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Vivo Keyd Stars73c750.06$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.521,47361.4%904 W · 569 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fluxo W7M8c499.72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.642,37840.9%973 W · 1,405 L-56.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Vivo Keyd Stars72c471.73$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1555256.5%312 W · 240 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked Fluxo W7M13c364.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3941140.9%168 W · 243 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Fluxo W7M28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018121%38 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Fluxo W7M27c345.63$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.611,26439.8%503 W · 761 L-70.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vivo Keyd Stars74c341.09$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6873237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaaa4…865cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars74c266.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1718062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fluxo W7M21c262.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.382044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Fluxo W7M26c248.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4918447.8%88 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Fluxo W7M22c192.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9650647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Vivo Keyd Stars72c185.41$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.911,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Fluxo W7M26c183.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.788360.2%50 W · 33 L+9.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Vivo Keyd Stars76c182.2$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9410350.5%52 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557b…dfb3backed Vivo Keyd Stars79c149.98$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.55062%31 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars74c148.81$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6968557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd86…d74fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.399070%63 W · 27 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Vivo Keyd Stars74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5920756%116 W · 91 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Vivo Keyd Stars70c126.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.99347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Fluxo W7M29c118.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4795551.7%494 W · 461 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Vivo Keyd Stars70c105.07$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.572,24837.3%838 W · 1,410 L-33.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Fluxo W7M27c95.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.825745.6%26 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Fluxo W7M26c91.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8911859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Fluxo W7M25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ac…0317backed Vivo Keyd Stars72c75.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.225058%29 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars75c65.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4295951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf254…3a54backed Vivo Keyd Stars78c63.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.924141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Vivo Keyd Stars72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,01749%498 W · 519 L+28.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Fluxo W7M27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510240.2%41 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed Vivo Keyd Stars73c48.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1134844.8%156 W · 192 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6f…e57cbacked Fluxo W7M29c47.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8816044.4%71 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Vivo Keyd Stars73c43.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6439266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed Fluxo W7M29c42.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4517658%102 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6654…5952backed Vivo Keyd Stars80c40.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.154652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Fluxo W7M30c36.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.081,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8a…4e10backed Vivo Keyd Stars74c35.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.161968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Vivo Keyd Stars74c33.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8275142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars75c29.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4542250%211 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Vivo Keyd Stars70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51,16249.2%572 W · 590 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…32a7backed Vivo Keyd Stars73c22.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1920963.6%133 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8214…b43abacked Vivo Keyd Stars80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.