Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e41c0d1f7c8e1bf0f5e44f0dc40ac1e6812536c2005f101258edd9dc116f779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 66c | 26,326$17,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,020.82 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Over | 36c | 6,877$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.45 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 32c | 6,666$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.29 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 35c | 4,070$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.69 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 35c | 2,740$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.56 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Over | 35c | 1,996$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.43 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 35c | 1,453$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.62 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 64c | 978.4$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Over | 34c | 635.2$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…413fbacked Over | 35c | 600.63$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 36c | 555$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…c6c1backed Over | 35c | 394.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 35c | 307.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 64c | 195.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 34c | 163$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 35c | 144.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Over | 35c | 123.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Over | 35c | 112.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 35c | 109.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…72d6backed Over | 35c | 100.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 64c | 70.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ef…4ec8backed Over | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 34c | 50.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Over | 35c | 43.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 66c | 39.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 64c | 20.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Under | 64c | 16.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Under | 64c | 16.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Fluxo W7M won
- Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)Vivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonVivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerVivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerVivo Keyd Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.