TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vivo Keyd Starsof Vivo Keyd Stars, Fluxo W7M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,443 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43ff…a491backed Fluxo W7M1c14,704$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0418554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Fluxo W7M2c8,305$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.872072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Vivo Keyd Stars78c3,129$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.441,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars73c2,742$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.432,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Vivo Keyd Stars74c2,019$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.8869539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Vivo Keyd Stars69c1,964$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.7296250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Fluxo W7M30c1,606$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.9551044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M21c1,603$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.462,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Fluxo W7M27c1,450$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.0334536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Fluxo W7M27c1,431$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.6285652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Fluxo W7M27c1,299$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.151,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Vivo Keyd Stars70c1,298$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2864443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Fluxo W7M26c1,197$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.891,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Vivo Keyd Stars73c1,132$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3539246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Fluxo W7M32c1,123$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.031,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Fluxo W7M13c996.04$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9473237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Vivo Keyd Stars79c975.66$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9776142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Fluxo W7M22c867.73$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8343642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Fluxo W7M43c798.13$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.21,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Vivo Keyd Stars64c781$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.161,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Fluxo W7M44c761.09$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.3429846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fluxo W7M31c712.85$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.981,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Vivo Keyd Stars73c674.23$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.111,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fluxo W7M6c588.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.791,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Vivo Keyd Stars73c583.99$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.681,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Fluxo W7M38c506.9$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5612642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed Fluxo W7M3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521622.7%49 W · 167 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars72c495.16$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6483560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed Fluxo W7M20c481.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1935533.5%119 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fluxo W7M12c449.93$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.263,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Fluxo W7M17c422.23$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2663352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Fluxo W7M30c382.91$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.985442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Fluxo W7M26c341.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.274344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Fluxo W7M32c341.12$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3659241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Fluxo W7M12c305.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3825331.2%79 W · 174 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Fluxo W7M36c264.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1899747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Vivo Keyd Stars69c248.25$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.625757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a94…6e31backed Fluxo W7M8c224.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.916747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Fluxo W7M22c218$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7842124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fluxo W7M33c216.96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.252,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd91…5d82backed Vivo Keyd Stars63c212.12$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.456347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Fluxo W7M11c211.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1723649.2%116 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Fluxo W7M46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.656341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8796…e255backed Fluxo W7M45c205.78$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.584650%23 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Vivo Keyd Stars58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8428042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Fluxo W7M16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3216555.2%91 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Fluxo W7M30c199.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0633737.7%127 W · 210 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Fluxo W7M15c194$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.118038.9%70 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked Fluxo W7M11c193.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3413537%50 W · 85 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Fluxo W7M11c189.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8320542.9%88 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M22c184.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.042,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Vivo Keyd Stars61c165$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9515944%70 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Fluxo W7M15c160$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2434235.7%122 W · 220 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Fluxo W7M42c157.73$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.068540%34 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fluxo W7M14c146.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.452,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Fluxo W7M19c143.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.511,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Vivo Keyd Stars73c139.73$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7313156.5%74 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Fluxo W7M17c133$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1343040.9%176 W · 254 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Vivo Keyd Stars70c126.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.99347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Vivo Keyd Stars70c119.75$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.481,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Fluxo W7M18c116.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6443233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Fluxo W7M16c114.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.385646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Fluxo W7M17c110$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1372637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d4c…935ebacked Fluxo W7M17c109$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5313433.6%45 W · 89 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked Fluxo W7M26c104.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.347738.6%184 W · 293 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1844…bc8abacked Fluxo W7M10c101.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-74.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Fluxo W7M38c100.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0310350.5%52 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Fluxo W7M15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517543.4%76 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Fluxo W7M18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1835048%168 W · 182 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Fluxo W7M15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538743.9%170 W · 217 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Fluxo W7M15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517739.5%70 W · 107 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars74c99.21$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7968557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fluxo W7M20c98.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.821,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Fluxo W7M30c97.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.121,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Fluxo W7M20c96.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6633124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed Vivo Keyd Stars74c93.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1417658%102 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked Fluxo W7M32c92.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5811145%50 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Vivo Keyd Stars66c88.27$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.121,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Fluxo W7M15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259740.7%243 W · 354 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Fluxo W7M27c79.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5258420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Vivo Keyd Stars73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Fluxo W7M35c57.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3348652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Fluxo W7M19c54.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Vivo Keyd Stars45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.594237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d6f…e57cbacked Fluxo W7M27c47.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9116044.4%71 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed Vivo Keyd Stars73c39.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4934844.8%156 W · 192 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4f…3cbabacked Vivo Keyd Stars61c38.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8822666.4%150 W · 76 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Vivo Keyd Stars74c37.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6864451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…b43abacked Fluxo W7M37c33.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.512777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x98dc…e3f0backed Vivo Keyd Stars74c33.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4715360.1%92 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed Vivo Keyd Stars57c31.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.669050%45 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Vivo Keyd Stars70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars79c23.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8641651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557b…dfb3backed Fluxo W7M48c20.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.035062%31 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vivo Keyd Stars69c19.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.082,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76a…47c0backed Vivo Keyd Stars60c17.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1628756.1%161 W · 126 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Vivo Keyd Stars70c14.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4250145.7%229 W · 272 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.