Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5eda0685079b97112c1d79bcfd0ff1c62f23fcf0f1d6be15eee20341936a3d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,117 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 19c | 18,450$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 16c | 6,509$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.4 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 5,966$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 23c | 4,884$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.82 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 21c | 4,636$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.72 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 77c | 3,900$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 79c | 2,433$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.88 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 2,361$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 24c | 2,340$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 20c | 2,310$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 20c | 2,277$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.99 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.81 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…ef6bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 1,219$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 16c | 1,131$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.03 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 18c | 1,041$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 80c | 938.95$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.79 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes | 80c | 874$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 19c | 697.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.04 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked No | 2c | 521.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…f89fbacked No | 24c | 468.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 21c | 451.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 20c | 443.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 76c | 413.12$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 22c | 371.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…eb0dbacked No | 25c | 356.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 355.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 75c | 346.36$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 19c | 265.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 76c | 261.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Yes | 77c | 259.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Yes | 76c | 258.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 24c | 236.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Yes | 79c | 227.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 20c | 223.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 19c | 213.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 79c | 113.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf431…adacbacked No | 22c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 78c | 84.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 83.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 21c | 83.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…01debacked Yes | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 79c | 56.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 23c | 54.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9659backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Yes | 77c | 39.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…bff2backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…2803backed Yes | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0834…6f44backed Yes | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bad0backed Yes | 78c | 25.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…6c55backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853d…6c4abacked Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Yes | 77c | 20.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…dc1cbacked Yes | 77c | 17.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…bb38backed Yes | 77c | 17.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 80c | 17.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Yes | 80c | 16.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedc…aa38backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Yes | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…3362backed Yes | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…c36ebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.