Mls · resolved market
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc5146286549fed4d7fa8fae11e104e494482a5b7a3bcb34e2c4ecf1aae2a06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,759 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 13c | 52,254$6,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,540.69 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 67c | 2,651$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.84 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 76c | 1,400$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 73c | 1,233$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 1,225$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.05 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 7c | 855.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 35c | 777.66$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.65 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 8c | 683.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 67c | 582$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.06 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 72c | 350$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 34c | 323$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 70c | 321$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 64c | 250$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 37c | 235.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 78c | 195.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 10c | 190$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 36c | 187.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bad0backed No | 9c | 185.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 181.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 33c | 179.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 63c | 179$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 33c | 159.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 36c | 149.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 33c | 123$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…da59backed Yes | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 31c | 99.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed No | 14c | 93.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 11c | 90.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 35c | 86.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 18c | 83.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Yes | 64c | 78.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 64c | 76.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…63b0backed Yes | 67c | 76.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 35c | 75.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 73c | 73.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…118cbacked Yes | 67c | 64.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…dbc4backed No | 34c | 59.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 26c | 57.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes | 66c | 55.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked No | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…6c2dbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 67c | 43.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…bfe0backed Yes | 66c | 37.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 34c | 34.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…b0eabacked Yes | 67c | 31.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae86…a294backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…332bbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed No | 35c | 29.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 68c | 26.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…6e50backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 78c | 19.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 63c | 19.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Yes | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 65c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…a37abacked Yes | 67c | 15.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Yes | 76c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.