Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x999898cc91ddad25229bdab0489fc6190af3de644129fdac5d38410f420b64cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,487 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes | 59c | 23,905$14,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,817.24 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed No | 18c | 12,158$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 74c | 9,733$7,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.77 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 7,505$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.2 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 38c | 4,770$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Yes | 59c | 4,678$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 61c | 4,238$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.84 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed No | 40c | 2,560$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 2,450$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 41c | 1,788$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.08 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 1,457$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.29 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 41c | 1,275$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.75 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 25c | 1,173$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.01 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 1,141$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 54c | 1,027$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.82 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 691.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.72 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 40c | 490.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.68 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 471.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 41c | 470$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked No | 45c | 430.25$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 60c | 331.67$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 27c | 326.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 24c | 269.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked No | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 42c | 256.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 60c | 254.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 39c | 235.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 220.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 214$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 41c | 210$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 38c | 208.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 40c | 179.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 178$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 41c | 175$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 41c | 175$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed No | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3c…6329backed No | 40c | 148$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 60c | 145.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…6769backed No | 40c | 145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ed…6acdbacked No | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe057…8061backed No | 40c | 138$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 76c | 134.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9f9bbacked No | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 129.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…a659backed No | 39c | 128.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 58c | 113.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 41c | 109$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 93.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 62c | 91.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…ee49backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 41c | 77.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will FC Famalicão vs. CD Nacional end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.