Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa53809c5892ff2623b73d1bccdcd2702e66176682e8011d50661e90deeb3d1dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,413 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 20c | 2,431$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.21 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 21c | 2,421$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,228$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.02 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 7c | 1,188$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 18c | 833.49$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.11 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 791.51$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 604.58$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 465.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 79c | 456$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Yes | 12c | 419.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Yes | 20c | 374.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 21c | 276.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Yes | 20c | 245.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 9c | 216.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 16c | 214.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 179.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 7c | 138.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…6302backed Yes | 21c | 114$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…b731backed Yes | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…3be7backed Yes | 21c | 108$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90cf…5914backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…a5e2backed Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a2…507abacked Yes | 21c | 94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 80c | 91.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Yes | 20c | 86.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 16c | 66.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 63.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Yes | 21c | 52.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…078bbacked No | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 79c | 48.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4f…47d1backed No | 79c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f1…eac1backed No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…865fbacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…b967backed No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd080…840bbacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…7672backed No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…40a5backed No | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…921abacked No | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…2149backed No | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8a…401ebacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…3cb2backed No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4f…07dcbacked No | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e2…e7f9backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…6d8bbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 79c | 24.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…43f3backed No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 79c | 22.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 80c | 22.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c8…0eb5backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 17.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…7cb3backed No | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa017…0f91backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?this page
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-03-18?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.