Europa Conference League · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9ba03212d3326963d2c0491b7003acf8f1264d04c8cce30bf982104678ccad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,253 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 8,865$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.69 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 2,914$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.37 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 74c | 2,700$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd58…c1c4backed Under | 27c | 2,009$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 75c | 1,733$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 74c | 1,318$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…825cbacked Over | 73c | 1,205$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 25c | 1,033$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.24 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 29c | 886.18$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 615.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 596.13$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.19 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 74c | 570.89$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 26c | 554.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fd…d4d6backed Over | 73c | 545$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…9094backed Over | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 73c | 454.06$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 74c | 416.01$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Over | 74c | 405.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…1c79backed Over | 75c | 400.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 26c | 397$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Over | 73c | 368.29$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 27c | 349.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 75c | 333.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 316.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 26c | 307.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Under | 27c | 307.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…34f9backed Over | 74c | 304$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…c3dcbacked Under | 26c | 304$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…1021backed Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…7a36backed Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…ae58backed Over | 73c | 259$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 79c | 254$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 75c | 199.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…a5f5backed Over | 73c | 192.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 70c | 184.89$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 73c | 180$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 26c | 171$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 146.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 73c | 138.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 105.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Over | 75c | 100.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e9…9ed3backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9287backed Over | 75c | 93.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 26c | 89.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 27c | 84.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 75c | 76.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 27c | 62.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 19c | 59.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Under | 30c | 48.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…3d82backed Over | 74c | 47.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 26c | 47.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 72c | 44.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Over | 72c | 39.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 72c | 39.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 73c | 37.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Over | 74c | 34.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 71c | 33.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 72c | 27.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 73c | 26.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 73c | 24.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Over | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…fb26backed Over | 75c | 22.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…2e75backed Over | 75c | 20.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…993dbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d92…616ebacked Over | 74c | 16.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Over | 73c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…8c3ebacked Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 74c | 13.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 74c | 13.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)FC Porto won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.