Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Equipe Caos vs HOLY (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c12aecdfd0eabfcf2077646ce27d988b6e96aa94234a2f5e95275e1d812854a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Equipe Caosof Equipe Caos, HOLY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Equipe Caos | 58c | 2,262$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed HOLY | 42c | 2,234$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.15 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed HOLY | 41c | 760.08$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.63 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Equipe Caos | 59c | 470.08$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.73 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Equipe Caos | 58c | 182.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked HOLY | 47c | 177.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Equipe Caos | 53c | 177.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Equipe Caos | 59c | 158$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Equipe Caos | 36c | 156$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed HOLY | 43c | 121.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed HOLY | 42c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Equipe Caos | 58c | 85.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Equipe Caos | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked HOLY | 64c | 78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed HOLY | 64c | 78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed HOLY | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b79…89e5backed Equipe Caos | 55c | 48.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Equipe Caos | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked HOLY | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed HOLY | 42c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Equipe Caos vs HOLY (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group Athis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.