Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on February 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeace35b1d9995c415386e84c2e06e3e439aca280ea83ca1661a9814470ad21f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd266…f250backed No | 1c | 15,065$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1558…4f75backed No | 12c | 2,180$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.15 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…0ddbbacked Yes | 46c | 1,007$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.1 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 11c | 899.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf911…8d8ebacked No | 66c | 501.65$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.2 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e6…0f82backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked No | 44c | 382.17$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 64c | 303.94$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 33c | 291.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.65 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…4eb1backed Yes | 54c | 271.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…5192backed Yes | 39c | 267.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 39c | 252.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bb…cb41backed Yes | 40c | 251.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.74 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…6cf6backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 50c | 190.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed Yes | 45c | 189.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0136…6e7bbacked Yes | 63c | 182.91$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked Yes | 22c | 160.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Yes | 26c | 160$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…06bcbacked No | 72c | 148.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 69c | 143.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 11c | 140.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 37c | 135.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 63c | 132.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 73c | 123.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…39b6backed Yes | 38c | 122.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed Yes | 20c | 122.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 30c | 119.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 31c | 99.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 99.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…31c0backed Yes | 48c | 93.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…e119backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 51c | 88.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed No | 64c | 87.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 111 | 72.1%80 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 48c | 87.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…9d96backed Yes | 13c | 86.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 69c | 85.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 85.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…db5fbacked Yes | 33c | 83.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b2…9cf8backed No | 40c | 82.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 19c | 80.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked No | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 19c | 74.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…100abacked No | 79c | 73.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 50c | 72.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 50c | 71.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a3…fa3cbacked Yes | 46c | 71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59c9…c4a9backed No | 52c | 70.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 46c | 69.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 45c | 65.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…3ccebacked Yes | 17c | 64.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…73f0backed Yes | 39c | 64.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 48c | 63.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…bae1backed Yes | 26c | 63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +279.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a7…4743backed Yes | 38c | 62.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…b7c5backed Yes | 50c | 61.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 77c | 59.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5f…ba5bbacked Yes | 47c | 59.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 65c | 56.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8b…20d0backed Yes | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 20c | 53.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…bc71backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 25c | 47.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…a72bbacked Yes | 53c | 47.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 51c | 45.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed No | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 70c | 40.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…085ebacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 219 | 19.6%43 W · 176 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 52c | 39.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…ba74backed Yes | 51c | 38.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 41c | 37.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed No | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…2685backed Yes | 34c | 35.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…60fdbacked No | 52c | 35.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…3b12backed No | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc552…c3abbacked Yes | 36c | 35.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb099…df6cbacked Yes | 63c | 30.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…d405backed No | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c9…1936backed Yes | 39c | 27.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…b1a9backed No | 66c | 27.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…04a1backed Yes | 42c | 25.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…154abacked No | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 66c | 21.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…8fb0backed Yes | 69c | 21.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…aff3backed No | 55c | 20.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6e…b651backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…4bf4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e7…3de8backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…c287backed Yes | 57c | 19.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…c73cbacked Yes | 54c | 18.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 75c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 14.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 179 | 78.8%141 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 78cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on February 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on February 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on February 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.