Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LAZER vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x678a250c5b6f9ee2b592754e35fcdfd6801cc3cc39f104ae84a24ea7e238b762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LAZER, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked LYON | 79c | 3,002$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.29 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked LAZER | 21c | 553$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LAZER | 21c | 499.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked LAZER | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed LAZER | 21c | 469.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed LAZER | 24c | 430.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed LAZER | 21c | 390$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked LYON | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked LAZER | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed LAZER | 22c | 203.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed LAZER | 21c | 194.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed LAZER | 21c | 166.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed LYON | 73c | 146.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LYON | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed LAZER | 24c | 87.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LYON | 73c | 75.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LAZER | 23c | 71.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed LYON | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed LAZER | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed LAZER | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LAZER vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: LAZER vs LYON - Map 1 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.