Earnings · resolved market
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0521b0b0d78cbcd8fdc0d85c7ee7124f509e03c971ac62d1f19336cf5d8cf695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 69c | 1,068$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.06 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 63c | 536.09$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 33c | 533.83$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed Yes | 30c | 451.59$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…bd50backed Yes | 33c | 344.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…ec5abacked Yes | 32c | 337.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 27c | 240$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…3c54backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed Yes | 30c | 163.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Yes | 29c | 139.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 137.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 113.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Yes | 29c | 87.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…4f20backed Yes | 22c | 84.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +87%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…c80fbacked Yes | 26c | 75.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 70c | 62.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…9c9abacked Yes | 34c | 58.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 58.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 71c | 49.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…a3adbacked Yes | 32c | 42.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 25c | 39.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -86%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…21c7backed No | 73c | 20.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3a…f78ebacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…17acbacked Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked No | 70c | 17.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…c84dbacked No | 72c | 17.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…0f16backed No | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.