Lol · resolved market
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cbae204d66a0aeb107fb7b755625ea910d625766cdab498d5762f8a5a5a681e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Spandauof Eintracht Spandau, Team Orange Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Orange Gaming | 31c | 9,354$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.41 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Eintracht Spandau | 68c | 3,420$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.4 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Orange Gaming | 33c | 1,500$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.25 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Eintracht Spandau | 68c | 1,178$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.51 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 1,031$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.86 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 998.55$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.55 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Eintracht Spandau | 75c | 925.45$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.27 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Orange Gaming | 30c | 820.7$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.48 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Eintracht Spandau | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 779$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.49 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 772.46$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.46 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 503.33$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Team Orange Gaming | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 458$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…a59bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 318.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 310$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Team Orange Gaming | 32c | 257.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Team Orange Gaming | 16c | 220$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Team Orange Gaming | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Orange Gaming | 9c | 147.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Eintracht Spandau | 68c | 133$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Orange Gaming | 12c | 129$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Eintracht Spandau | 78c | 127.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 125.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Team Orange Gaming | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Orange Gaming | 31c | 84.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 60.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Team Orange Gaming | 32c | 60.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e9…8053backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Team Orange Gaming | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Eintracht Spandau | 68c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…0637backed Team Orange Gaming | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed Eintracht Spandau | 74c | 13.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.