Earnings · resolved market
Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66db4f67e4c5a361bf2f3bda4c2d20c9734f27a0af570f519904f635cf0fc308
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 27c | 583.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 28c | 292.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 72c | 286.1$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 68c | 249$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed Yes | 73c | 222.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes | 75c | 159.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 28c | 146.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…9013backed No | 36c | 129.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed No | 32c | 82.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 74c | 76.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c75abacked No | 26c | 75.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…9c21backed Yes | 70c | 71.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…3b81backed Yes | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5191…84e8backed Yes | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed Yes | 67c | 47.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 30c | 47.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…c42dbacked No | 35c | 43.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…fae8backed Yes | 70c | 42.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 29c | 39.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9f02backed Yes | 70c | 35.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…0bfcbacked Yes | 68c | 29.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa711…6f94backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…1a53backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a7c1backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…a0b8backed Yes | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 67c | 15.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.