World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31d7a76e9bd1ad98cd5b16e7605169720d5ea7df577e2ceef6b9dc533b19b0fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 7,726$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.12 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 5c | 4,451$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.13 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 11c | 2,245$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.35 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…37aebacked No | 3c | 2,205$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 5c | 1,211$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed No | 73c | 1,180$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 5c | 1,074$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 2c | 1,035$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 9c | 971.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 9c | 880.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 688.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…a978backed No | 25c | 596$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 78c | 581.06$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…60c3backed No | 24c | 546$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed No | 2c | 533.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d6…7119backed No | 24c | 501$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5600…a4e8backed No | 26c | 501$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 3c | 494.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 4c | 488$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 6c | 482.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed Yes | 27c | 421$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed Yes | 27c | 389$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 9c | 388.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes | 27c | 370$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 5c | 332.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f71…3795backed Yes | 75c | 310$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e3…2df1backed Yes | 76c | 288$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 8c | 279.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…4c63backed Yes | 76c | 270$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…c1babacked Yes | 74c | 265$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 5c | 259.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…b48dbacked Yes | 76c | 258$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab2…c358backed Yes | 75c | 236$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3e…e915backed Yes | 74c | 236$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 235.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 9c | 234$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc458…ccb7backed Yes | 76c | 231$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 80c | 193.33$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 13c | 188$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 6c | 162.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 13c | 146.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 9c | 144.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 11c | 98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 13c | 89.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 23c | 89.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed Yes | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 75c | 37.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 69c | 19.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.